LigoSocial Research/Method
Methodology
Where the data comes from, how we selected it, how we compare posts, and how accurate our labels are.
Sample134,522 posts from 1,499 real LinkedIn profiles, January 2023 to September 2026
Key findings
- 134,522 posts from 1,499 profiles, January 2023 to September 2026.
- Every effect compares posts by the same author; every author counts once.
- Minimum 30 authors and 200 posts per published number.
- AI-judge labels calibrated by hand, with a published false-positive floor.
Contents
Where the data comes from
The sample. We selected 1,499 personal LinkedIn profiles for this analysis: 134,522 public posts published between January 2023 and September 2026. The profiles belong to people who opted in through LigoSocial; we did not scrape anyone else, and profiles looked up with our free tools are not included. For each post we have its text, format and the reactions, comments and reposts it had at our snapshot (25 September 2026), plus the author's current follower count.
Selection criteria.
- Personal profiles only (no company pages).
- Original posts written by the profile owner (no reposts, no posts by other authors).
- Duplicates removed, so every post counts once.
- The six main formats: text, image, document, video, link preview and poll.
- Posted January 2023 or later.
- At least 7 days of engagement data before the snapshot.
Within-author comparisons then use only authors with several posts in the same year to compare against (see How we compare posts).
Privacy
- Aggregates only. We never publish names, handles, post text, example posts or lists of top posts or creators.
- Minimum group sizes: every published number covers at least 30 authors and 200 posts, or 20 authors and 100 posts inside a follower band or region. Smaller cells are suppressed, not rounded.
- We never cross two small cuts (for example country by band by format).
- Working files with post text were processed locally and deleted after the analysis.
- Our privacy policy covers publishing aggregated, anonymised statistics.
How we compare posts
Engagement is reactions + comments + reposts. We do not have views, saves or dwell time for most posts.
Within-author comparison. For each post we take log(1 + engagement) and subtract the average for the same author in the same year. A group's effect is the average of those differences, first within each author, then across authors, so every author counts once and a few big accounts cannot dominate. "+36% vs text" compares the same authors' image posts with their text-only posts. Comparing within the same year also removes follower growth over time.
Confidence intervals are 95% intervals from 400 bootstrap resamples of authors. Engagement snapshot: posts need at least 7 days between publishing and our engagement snapshot; posts can keep gaining engagement after that, which slightly understates totals for recent posts but affects all groups alike.
Local time uses the author's profile location, for single-time-zone countries plus US states, Canadian provinces and Australian states.
Follower growth uses monthly follower snapshots from June 2025 to August 2026 (months in which the person posted). Growth between consecutive months, and for longer histories the compound monthly growth from first to last snapshot.
How we set the follower bands
Follower counts are current. We plotted all profiles on a log scale and looked for natural breaks: a jump in profile counts at 1,000, a dip near 3,000, a second cluster from about 4,000 to 6,000 that thins after 6,000, and a tail past 10,000. Jenks natural breaks on the same data give about 760, 2,900 and 11,000 (four groups) or 1,350, 3,550 and 10,400 (six groups). We used 1,000, 3,000, 6,000 and 10,000.
Labelling posts with an AI judge
Post types, opening lines, topics, traits and "reads as AI" were labelled by Jev, a fast judgment model from TypeSafe that answers narrow questions with a probability, a choice or a score. It does not write. Each question was calibrated against posts we checked by hand before we trusted it (a single labeller; no post is quoted anywhere). Every eligible post was labelled for every question in one consistent pass with the same model version: all 130,976 posts of 150+ characters from January 2023 onward, plus the 1,554 pre-ChatGPT baseline posts. That covers 119,961 posts from 1,466 authors in the analysis set. On 1,800 posts checked against the earlier calibrated run, 98% to 99.9% of labels matched. Posts under 150 characters were not labelled.
| Question | Checked against | Result | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reads as AI (score 0 to 3) | 40 random posts + 32 clear cases | AUC 0.86 and 1.00; flags 20% of 1,554 pre-ChatGPT posts (false-positive floor) | below 0.5 = AI-sounding; 1.5+ = clearly human |
| Opening line type (7 options) | 40 random posts | 95% agreement | most likely option |
| Post type (7 options) | 40 random posts | 88% agreement | most likely option |
| Topic (9 options) | 40 random posts | 90% agreement | most likely option |
| First-hand experience | 40 random + 30 stratified posts | 87% of flagged posts correct; about 1 in 5 first-hand posts missed | 0.5 |
| Contrarian stance | 40 random + 30 stratified posts | AUC 0.98; 87% of flagged posts correct | 0.8 |
| Concrete specifics | 40 random posts | AUC 0.97; 37 of 40 agree | 0.8 |
| Promotional | 40 random posts | AUC 1.00; 97% agreement | 0.9 |
| Asks readers to comment | 40 random posts | AUC 0.92; 92% agreement | 0.9 |
| Link or contact call to action | 40 random posts | AUC 0.96; 92% agreement | 0.9 |
The "reads as AI" judge also scored 1,554 posts written before ChatGPT's release (November 2022). It flagged 20% of them. We publish that false-positive floor next to every AI trend.
Posts published through LigoSocial itself are excluded from the AI-writing and content-label analyses, so our own product cannot influence those results.
Limitations
- Observational data: associations, not proof of cause. Within-author comparisons remove many confounders, not all.
- Our authors chose an AI writing assistant, so they are more active and more AI-curious than the average LinkedIn member.
- No views, saves or dwell time; poll votes are not counted as engagement.
- Follower counts are current, and growth history covers about 15 months.
- 2026 covers January to September.
Reuse and citation
Everything here is free to use under CC BY 4.0. Please credit "LigoSocial Research" and link to the page you cite. The CSV files below hold every published number. If you spot an error, tell us at [email protected] and we will correct it and note the change.
Download the data
- CSV
All 40 findings with numbers and sample sizes
One row per finding.
40 rows, CSV
- CSV
Post format effects by follower band
Engagement vs the same author's text-only posts, 2024 to 2026.
41 rows, CSV
- CSV
Documents, video length and reposts by format
Effects vs the author's average post, plus comment and repost ratios.
21 rows, CSV
- CSV
Post length effects by follower band
Engagement vs the same author's 600 to 900 character posts.
48 rows, CSV
- CSV
Hashtags, emojis and tagging
Engagement vs the same author's posts with none.
32 rows, CSV
- CSV
Day, hour, region and posting gaps
Engagement vs the same author's average post (local time).
94 rows, CSV
- CSV
Engagement benchmarks by follower band
Typical author in each band, September 2025 to September 2026.
5 rows, CSV
- CSV
Follower growth by posting frequency and consistency
Median monthly follower growth, June 2025 to August 2026.
41 rows, CSV
- CSV
Share of posts that read as AI, by half-year
Posts of 300+ characters, calibrated judge, with the pre-ChatGPT false-positive baseline.
9 rows, CSV
- CSV
Em dashes and AI writing patterns, by half-year
Share of posts (150+ characters) using each pattern.
12 rows, CSV
- CSV
Post types, openings, topics, traits and the AI penalty
Labelled with a calibrated judge; within-author comparisons.
79 rows, CSV
Suggested citation
LigoSocial Research (2026). How we built the State of LinkedIn 2026 dataset. https://ligosocial.com/research/methodology
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: quote the numbers, embed the charts or rework the data, with credit to LigoSocial Research and a link to this page. Every figure is aggregated and anonymised; no individual, profile or post can be identified.
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How we collect, clean and anonymise the data: methodology. Questions or a cut we have not published? Ask us.
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